Impacto do investimento directo estrangeiro na geração de emprego em Moçambique (2002-2023)

Abstract

This study analyses the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on employment generation in Mozambique, using quarterly time series data from 2002 to 2023, with the aim of understanding the extent to which FDI contributes to job creation in the country, through the estimation of an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The results indicate that, in the short term, FDI does not have a significant impact on job creation in Mozambique. Furthermore, the long-term analysis reveals that the relationship between FDI and employment generation is not stable, suggesting that, although FDI may generate some temporary jobs, especially during the implementation of large projects, its effects tend to be limited and transitory. This is largely due to the capital-intensive nature of investments, especially in the extractive sector, and the lack of qualifications of the local workforce, which reduces the use of the employment opportunities generated. Therefore, the study concludes that, for FDI to have a significant and sustainable impact on job creation in Mozambique, it is necessary to invest in workforce qualification policies, diversification of the sectors receiving this investment and in strengthening the country's economic and institutional infrastructure(TRADUÇÃO NOSSA)